Thursday, January 29, 2009

WTI vs Brent

WTI crude oil experienced a slight drop yesterday, largely a result of continually weak global demand reflected unmistakably in further dire economic data. Consumer demand declines have resulted in seasonally lower refinery utilization numbers as many refiners have opted to close for maintenance, rather than produce products at a weak margin. This has not gone unnoticed as traders have bid up the front-month Rbob gasoline crack to almost $11 while seasonal heating oil demand has pushed the heat crack to above $18.00.

Meanwhile, near-month Brent continues to trade at a premium to WTI. Traders looking to take advantage of this typically short-term phenomenon can look to the options market for a risk-limited play. Based on Thursday’s underlying settlements, the April WTI $60 call can be purchased for a mere $0.10 by selling the same call in Brent. An even safer play would be to buy the April WTI $65/85 call spread for about $0.20 of premium by selling the same call spread in Brent. This trade involves Average Price Options, or “Asian-style”.

Singapore, 09:00